macro reaction — the print's surprise versus forecast
AAPL reaction to CPI, payrolls and FOMC surprises
The measure is the surprise versus the forecast, not the headline print. Each major print's surprise is measured in standard deviations from what was forecast, and the empirical next-day reaction after a big beat versus a big miss is shown: the average move and a 5th–95th percentile band, with the most reactive release flagged.
AAPL
Macro reaction — in the pipeline
The macro-reaction read needs a real macro-print history (CPI / NFP / FOMC releases and the next-day returns that followed) and it is not connected right now. Nothing is estimated in its place.
A macro-release feed is in the pipeline. The page resumes automatically once it is connected.